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Stress-testing our call for the ECB and market rates. What could derail a European Central Bank rate cut in September? Could the deposit rate fall back to 1% ...
Customers still bullish on EUR/USD. Yesterday, we held a webinar to share highlights of our latest FX Talking publication: Powell plays dollar defence. An important part of ING we ...
There’s another complication: President Donald Trump’s latest threat of 30% tariffs on European goods. In June, the ECB’s ...
A sizable upward revision to May's payroll data, combined with yesterday's hotter-than-expected inflation data, takes some of ...
However, it never looked like markets fully priced in Powell’s exit yesterday afternoon. Pricing for a September Fed cut didn ...
Soft print masks firmer pricing in consumer goods. Czech industrial producer prices fell 0.2% month-on-month and 0.7% year-on-year in June, coming in below market expectations. Ag ...
Trump's announcement of a trade deal with Indonesia likely provided the confidence needed to proceed with a cut ...
In May, real wage growth reached its historical average, which appears weak compared to the double-digit increases seen in ...
A new fiscal consolidation package focusing on tax hikes and spending cuts aims to bring the deficit under control ...
Since early 2023, countries in Southern Europe have seen strong declines in unemployment, while those in the north have seen increases. This is helping eurozone convergence, adding to tighter ...
Yesterday’s US inflation failed to validate dovish bets on the Fed and triggered a bounce in the oversold dollar. We see more room for hawkish repricing in the coming weeks, and accordingly, upside ...
Services inflation is uncomfortably high for the Bank of England, even if much of it is driven by regulated or ...
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